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Explore the research behind our trading, plus some just-for-fun stuff....

Posted on Nov 19, 2020 by Robot James
11 comments.
429 Views

The S&P index committee recently announced that Tesla, already one of the biggest stocks listed in the country, would be included in the S&P 500. Here's the press release: Due to TSLA's size, it was widely expected to have entered the S&P 500 index much earlier - but S&P has some discretionary criteria it applies to ensure that the index...

Posted on Nov 17, 2020 by Kris Longmore
1 Comment.
1,176 Views

Colaboratory, or Colab, is a hosted Jupyter notebook service requiring zero setup and providing free access to compute resources. It is a convenient and powerful way to share research, and we use it extensively in The Lab. What's The Lab? The Lab is the RW Pro group's portal for doing collaborative research together as a community. The key goals are:...

Posted on Nov 10, 2020 by Robot James
No Comments.
879 Views

You rarely meet a rich forex trader. I’ve met plenty of rich traders who trade quant factors or stat arb. Plenty of market makers, futures spreaders and volatility traders that do nicely. But I don’t think I’ve ever met a rich forex trader. Jeez man - what a downer! Don't run away, we're gonna turn this around into something positive......

Posted on Nov 09, 2020 by Robot James
No Comments.
433 Views

  Here’s a chart of long-term asset performance…. The blue line shows returns from US stocks from 1900 to today. That’s a 48,000x increase in nominal value. The yellow line shows the returns from US bonds from 1900 to today. That’s a 300x increase in nominal value. If you look at this in isolation things look easy. You just buy...

Posted on Nov 02, 2020 by Kris Longmore
3 comments.
402 Views

I recently listened to a podcast about one of the earliest human civilizations - the ancient Sumerians. Apparently, our system of minutes, hours, and days has been with us since the time of these ancient people, who developed it based on a simple base-12 counting system: There are three joints in each of the four fingers You can count twelve...

Posted on Oct 30, 2020 by Kris Longmore
2 comments.
822 Views

I was very sad to learn that Quantopian is shutting down its community services. Quantopian's efforts to bring quant finance outside of institutions was a genuine game-changer. The educational content was solid, the tech was excellent, and the QuantCon conferences were professional, well-run, and inclusive in a way that you never see at the "finance insider" equivalents. Any of us...

Posted on Oct 28, 2020 by Robot James
No Comments.
429 Views

You've probably noticed that there's a US election on the horizon. This is an event of known uncertainty: a "known unknown" in the now immortal language of Donald Rumsfeld. In trading, we sometimes observe marginal pricing inefficiencies around these "known unknowns". For example, ahead of  stock earnings announcements or significant economic or policy announcements, we tend to find: more significant trend...

Posted on Sep 16, 2020 by Robot James
1 Comment.
1,077 Views

This is a review of Positional Option Trading by Euan Sinclair.  Trading books set a low bar for the reviewer. 99% are full of facile feel-good advice (don't fight the trend, always use a protective stop). The 1% that are useful tend to either be dry technical treatments (quants who don't trade), or sporadically helpful insights from traders who make...