With the recent sell-off in pretty much everything, it’s a good time to talk about managing your expectations of trading. The essential thing is to understand and embrace the mayhem of the markets. And to understand what you can control and can’t control so that you don’t send yourself crazy worrying about things that there …
It was my absolute pleasure to chat with Kris Abdelmessih about markets and life. Kris was an options market maker who started out in the trading pits of New York and later flipped the script to set up the commodity options business for hedge fund Parallax Advisory. Today, Kris writes the Moontower newsletter on Substack …
UVXY is an ETF that targets 1.5x the daily returns of a 30-day constant-maturity position in VX futures – the SPVIXSTR index. Before 2018, it targeted 2x returns – but Volmageddon ruined the fun. UVXY has to trade every day: Anyone can trade UVXY in the market, and it trades close to the index because …
Data analysis plays a central role in making sense of financial markets. But how can you verify the conclusions others draw, or better yet, uncover your own insights? Microsoft Excel remains one of the most powerful and accessible tools for financial data analysis, allowing anyone—from beginners to seasoned analysts—to explore data, test hypotheses, and make …
People often ask me for book recommendations. But here’s a better question: What’s going to help you make money today? Reading a book probably isn’t the answer. I’m not saying books aren’t useful. They absolutely are. But you’re not preparing for a PhD defence – you’re trying to turn money into more money through trading. …
I’ve noticed that beginners are often attracted to market making. To the uninitiated, it sounds like easy money and constant action. The reality, of course, is that market making isn’t the goldmine many think it is, especially not for beginners. In this article, I’ll explore why. Back in the early days of crypto, you could’ve …
Someone recently asked me if obsessing over FOMC announcements, Non-Farm Payrolls reports, geopolitics and other macro news is important for traders. My answer might surprise you: unless you’re actually a dedicated macro trader – which is highly unlikely if you’re reading my stuff – it almost certainly won’t help your trading. Let’s start with what …
A lot of my advice boils down to trading is hard, so go after the easiest stuff you can find first. Some call this defeatist. I call it realistic and practical. A big part of trading is not screwing up. So, at the start, learning skills, defining processes, and building confidence are important. A question …
Someone recently asked me about the difference between our approach and discretionary order flow trading and technical analysis. Order flow trading involves sitting in front of a screen and looking at orders and trades as they come in and trying to work out if more buying or selling is happening, where those trades are occurring, …
I notice that in conversations with traders, they often think about entries, exits, and discrete trades with some sort of life-cycle. But your P&L does not come from a trade. A trade doesn’t change your P&L much, except for the commission and spread costs that you incur. Your P&L comes from holding a risk position …
