Chart patterns have long been a favourite of the technical analysis community. Triangles, flags, pennants, cups, heads and shoulders…. Name a shape, someone somewhere is using it to predict market behaviour. But, we need to find out if there is a grain of truth or reliability in these patterns. Can attempts to objectively measure these …
When tinkering with trading ideas, have you ever wondered whether a certain variable might be correlated with the success of the trade? For instance, maybe you wonder if your strategy tends to do better when volatility is high? In this case, you can get very binary feedback by, say, running backtests with and without a …
In part 1 of this series, we talked about how a market-savvy systematic trader would approach a period of drawdown in a trading strategy. Specifically, they’d: do the best job possible of designing and building their trading strategy to be robust to a range of future market conditions chill out and let the strategy do …
Some price series are mean reverting some of the time, but it is also possible to create portfolios which are specifically constructed to have mean-reverting properties. Series that can be combined to create stationary portfolios are called cointegrating, and there are a bunch of statistical tests for this property. We’ll return to these shortly. While …
Before you commit your precious time to read this post on Shannon Entropy, I need to warn you that this is one of those posts that market nerds like myself will get a kick out of, but which probably won’t add much of practical value to your trading. The purpose of this post is to …
I’m a bit late to the party with this one, but I was recently introduced to the feather format for working with tabular data. And let me tell you, as far as reading and writing data goes, it’s fast. Really fast. Not only has it provided a decent productivity boost, but the motivation for its …
If you’ve ever delved into the world of retail foreign exchange trading, you’ll have come across the MetaTrader platform. Let’s be clear. The platform has its drawbacks. If you’ve traded “grown-up” markets, some of the features will leave you scratching your head. But one thing’s for sure – MetaTrader provides fast, convenient access to pretty …
Pick the Easy Games Like many sociopaths, Frank Wallace was a fan of the philosophy of Ayn Rand. He wrote a book called “Poker: A Guaranteed Income for Life”, started a cult based on Rand’s philosophy of objectivism, and got convicted of tax fraud. “Poker: A Guaranteed Income for Life” is about getting edges in …
In our inaugural Algo Bootcamp, we teamed up with our super-active community of traders and developed a long-only, always-in-the-market strategy for harvesting risk premia. It holds a number of different ETFs, varying their relative weighting on a monthly basis. We’re happy with it. However, the perennial question remains: can we do better? As you might …
This is the first in a two-part series. Be sure to read part 2 – Practical Statistics for Algo Traders: The Law of Large Numbers How do you feel when you see the word “statistics”? Maybe you feel that it’s something you should be really good at but aren’t. Maybe the word gives you a …
