Three types of systematic strategy that “work”

Broadly, there are three types of systematic trading strategy that can “work.” In order of increasing turnover they are: Risk premia harvesting Economically-sensible, statistically-quantifiable slow-converging inefficiencies Trading fast-converging supply/demand imbalances This post provides an overview of each. 1. Risk Premia Harvesting Risk Premia Harvesting is typically the domain of wealth management, but it’s important to …

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Exporting Zorro Data to CSV

Earlier versions of Zorro used to ship with a script for converting market data in Zorro binary format to CSV. That script seems to have disappeared with the recent versions of Zorro, so I thought I’d post it here. When you run this script by selecting it and pressing [Test] on the Zorro interface, you …

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Evolving Thoughts on Data Mining

Several years ago, I wrote about some experimentation I’d done with data mining for predictive features from financial data. The article has had several tens of thousands of views and nearly 100 comments. I think the popularity of the article lay in its demonstration of various tools and modeling frameworks for doing data mining in R …

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Trading FX using Autoregressive Models

I’m a big fan of Ernie Chan’s quant trading books: Quantitative Trading, Algorithmic Trading, and Machine Trading. There are some great insights in there, but the thing I like most is the simple but thorough treatment of various edges and the quant tools you might use to research and trade them. Ernie explicitly states that …

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Tesla’s inclusion in the S&P 500 – Is there a trade?

The S&P index committee recently announced that Tesla, already one of the biggest stocks listed in the country, would be included in the S&P 500. Here’s the press release: Due to TSLA’s size, it was widely expected to have entered the S&P 500 index much earlier – but S&P has some discretionary criteria it applies …

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Where does FX sit in a Systematic Trading Portfolio?

You rarely meet a rich forex trader. I’ve met plenty of rich traders who trade quant factors or stat arb. Plenty of market makers, futures spreaders and volatility traders that do nicely. But I don’t think I’ve ever met a rich forex trader. Jeez man – what a downer! Don’t run away, we’re gonna turn …

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Some Things Just Go Up (If You Wait Long Enough)

  Here’s a chart of long-term asset performance…. The blue line shows returns from US stocks from 1900 to today. That’s a 48,000x increase in nominal value. The yellow line shows the returns from US bonds from 1900 to today. That’s a 300x increase in nominal value. If you look at this in isolation things …

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What Assumptions Are You Making About “Time” In Your Trading?

I recently listened to a podcast about one of the earliest human civilizations – the ancient Sumerians. Apparently, our system of minutes, hours, and days has been with us since the time of these ancient people, who developed it based on a simple base-12 counting system: There are three joints in each of the four …

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