Kris Longmore

Trading Without Edge? That’s expensive gambling, I said…

Think like a trader

Trading Without Edge? That’s expensive gambling, I said…

When I first got interested in trading, The Whitlams were all over Australian radio, and I was making all the beginner mistakes. A big one – focusing on techniques instead of edges. I poured time and energy into building backtesting engines and frameworks for applying all the usual tools – cointegration tests, Hurst exponents, Kalman

Trading Signals in High Definition

CryptoData analysisThink like a trader

Trading Signals in High Definition

We’ve all used on/off type trading signals at some point. But you can nearly always extract more insight with a simple adjustment that focuses on using data efficiently. Let me show you how using a crypto trend example. The problem with binary signals You’ve seen them everywhere. “If price is above the 20-day moving average,

Understanding “why” beats statistical significance

Think like a trader

Understanding “why” beats statistical significance

Do you find yourself obsessing over p-values and t-stats when evaluating trading ideas? I get it. If you come from an academic or scientific background, statistical significance feels like the gold standard for determining whether something is “real” or just random noise. And in many fields, that’s exactly right. But trading is different. Statistical tests

If your edge is so good, why share it?

Think like a trader

If your edge is so good, why share it?

The market is a highly competitive beast. If you’ve spotted an edge, others have too. And as capital piles in, most obvious mispricings will eventually decay. Take the reasonably well-known end-of-month bond trade, for example. Towards month end, excess price-insensitive demand for treasuries tends to come in, causing a temporary dislocation from fair value: A

Unravel Data: A Cheat Code for Crypto?

CryptoFactorsQuant trading

Unravel Data: A Cheat Code for Crypto?

The best trading edges are often found in places most people don’t think to look. It’s why being a bit of a pirate – zigging when others zag and finding opportunities in the market’s blind spots – is such an effective approach. Today, I want to share something that has me genuinely excited. It’s a

Don’t Over-Engineer your Trading Business… Make Money Instead

Think like a trader

Don’t Over-Engineer your Trading Business… Make Money Instead

Someone sent me their trading technology blueprint. It was a thing of beauty: timeseries databases, Grafana dashboards, message queues, and all sorts of fancy architecture. My first question: “What are you currently trading?” Their answer: “Nothing yet. But I’m planning a medium frequency stat arb basket trade.” I almost spat out my coffee. Look, I

Stop Losses: Rethinking Conventional Wisdom

Think like a trader

Stop Losses: Rethinking Conventional Wisdom

How often have you heard someone say, “I use a stop loss to manage downside risk”? You see this repeated so often that you could be forgiven for thinking it was some inviolable universal law. But do stop losses really do what people think? Let’s think this through together. And fair warning – what I’m

No Magic Formulas: How I Actually Decide What to Trade

Think like a trader

No Magic Formulas: How I Actually Decide What to Trade

Someone recently asked me if I have a checklist for adopting new trading strategies. You know, a neat little formula like “if backtested Sharpe > 1.8, trade it” or “if drawdown < 15%, green light.” I get the appeal. We all want clear, objective criteria to make these decisions easier. But strategy adoption just doesn’t

Why data mining risks your trading career

Quant trading

Why data mining risks your trading career

I was recently talking to someone about data mining as an approach to finding edges to trade. I get the appeal. Feed enough data into a computer, run enough tests, and surely something profitable will emerge, right? Maybe. But almost certainly not. But the worst thing about this approach is that it risks your entire

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