How do I know if I have an edge?

I’ve been helping a family friend with his trading. I’ve given him a simple systematic strategy to trade by hand. First, we set expectations We can plot the distribution of historic trade returns from past trading or a backtest as a histogram.   This is useful because it gives us a hint as to what …

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Where does FX sit in a Systematic Trading Portfolio?

You rarely meet a rich forex trader. I’ve met plenty of rich traders who trade quant factors or stat arb. Plenty of market makers, futures spreaders and volatility traders that do nicely. But I don’t think I’ve ever met a rich forex trader. Jeez man – what a downer! Don’t run away, we’re gonna turn …

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Some Things Just Go Up (If You Wait Long Enough)

  Here’s a chart of long-term asset performance…. The blue line shows returns from US stocks from 1900 to today. That’s a 48,000x increase in nominal value. The yellow line shows the returns from US bonds from 1900 to today. That’s a 300x increase in nominal value. If you look at this in isolation things …

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Exploiting The Non-Farm Payrolls Drift

Anyone that’s been around the markets knows that the monthly release of the United States Department of Labor’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data can have a tremendous impact, especially in the short term. NFP is a snapshot of the state of the employment situation in the US, representing the total number of paid workers, excluding farm …

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Deep Learning for Trading Part 3: Feed Forward Networks

This is the third in a multi-part series in which we explore and compare various deep learning tools and techniques for market forecasting using Keras and TensorFlow. In Part 1, we introduced Keras and discussed some of the major obstacles to using deep learning techniques in trading systems, including a warning about attempting to extract meaningful signals …

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Neural Network Trading: A Getting Started Guide for Algo Trading

This article is adapted from one of the units of Advanced Algorithmic Trading. If you like what you see, check out the entire curriculum here. Find out what Robot Wealth is all about here. If you’re interested in using artificial neural networks (ANNs) for algorithmic trading, but don’t know where to start, then this article …

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How to Run Trading Algorithms on Google Cloud Platform in 6 Easy Steps

Earlier this year, I attended the Google Next conference in San Francisco and gained some first-hand perspective into what’s possible with Google’s cloud infrastructure. Since then, I’ve been leaning on Google Cloud Platform (GCP) to run my trading algorithms (and much more) and it has quickly become an important tool in my workflow! In this …

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Back to Basics Part 3: Backtesting in Algorithmic Trading

  This is the final post in our 3-part Back to Basics series. You may be interested in checking out the other posts in this series: Part 1: An Introduction to Algorithmic Trading Part 2: How to Succeed at Algorithmic Trading We’ve also compiled this series into an eBook which you can download for free …

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Back to Basics Part 2 – Succesful Algorithmic Trading

This is the second post in our 3-part Back to Basics series on successful algorithmic trading. You may be interested in checking out the other posts in this series: Part 1: An Introduction to Algorithmic Trading Part 3: Backtesting in Algorithmic Trading There is a lot of information about algorithmic and quantitative trading in the public …

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Intro to Algorithmic Trading – An Algorithmic Trading System

This is the first post in our 3-part Back to Basics series which serve as an introduction to algorithmic trading. You may be interested in checking out the other posts in this series: Part 2: How to Succeed at Algorithmic Trading Part 3: Backtesting in Algorithmic Trading This is the first in a series of posts in …

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